Shohei Ohtani opened the season with zero home runs, slugging hits, and zero RBIs in the first six games of the season. Then he hit two home runs in three consecutive games against the Nationals, with a batting average of 3.53%. But what Soybean wants to talk about today is not the result, but what is hidden behind the Statcast data of these two home runs. On April 4, the 84.4-mile changeup against Mike Rath had only 3 inches of vertical movement and almost no sink—a missed pitch. The 88.8-mile Carter pitch against Griffin on April 6 had only 2 inches of vertical travel and was almost completely straight — also a miss. Two missed pitches, the ball speed difference was 4.4 miles, Ohtani’s contact point (Intercept Y) automatically moved back 4.7 inches, but the swing angle (Attack Angle) almost did not change, the difference was less than 1 degree. Both are Barrel, and both xwOBA are over 2.0. I called up all 128 of his career home runs with complete Bat Tracking data, and found that the correlation coefficient between the release contact point and the swing angle is r² = 0.60 – this linkage is real and strong. Then I compared the data of Judge, Soto, Gallo, and Andy Pages. The conclusion is clear: everyone has this pattern, but Ohtani switches 1.5 times as much as the average top hitter. ▸ 00:00 Opening ▸ 01:30 Background – After six silences ▸ 02:30 First home run: Mikolas Changeup ▸ 04:00 Second home run: Griffin Cutter ▸ 05:30 Intercept Y contact point analysis ▸ 07:30 Attack Angle Linkage of swing angle▸ 09:00 Comparison with other hitters ▸ 11:00 Conclusion and CTA Data source: Baseball Savant (Statcast) #大谷香平#MLB #Statcast #豆说球# Dodge#baseballanalytics
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