[Otani Shohei Series]7 starts, ERA 0.82, this is Cy Young!!

⚾【Soybean Corruption Group・Dodge Football Watching Group】The registration link is here! July 30th Dodgers vs Red Sox, Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles 👉 Itinerary: https://www.rofagency.com/itinerary_20260730# 👉 Registration form: https://forms.gle/3qGtwu9LiES3jq6F8 Seats are limited, register as soon as possible! Remember to fill out the registration form to get a NT$1,000 discount🎉[Lottery Method]Two books will be drawn from “Otani Shohei – Home Run Posture Anatomy Illustrated” Lucky Draw method: 1. Please subscribe to TALKBASEBALLTW’s YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/@TALKBASEBALLTW 2. Write your thoughts or experiences about Ohtani Shohei’s low point in this pinned message 3. Please join the TALKBASEBALLTW official LINE Community https://line.me/ti/g2/aFmLwLMaWp6TAYOJmRPNM0wmFiebfllul-IdeQ?utm_source=invitation&utm_medium=link_copy&utm_campaign=default 4. Please leave a screenshot of subscribing to Doudou Talking Ball in the notepad discussion thread of the LINE community⏰ Lottery time: 5/16 At ten o’clock in the evening, Shohei Ohtani has hit a low ebb this year. You must know this. But what about pitching? ERA 0.82, first in the major leagues, this is the best year of his entire pitching career. Then some people said that he would definitely not win the Cy Young Award this year. I think this statement deserves a serious response, so I made this video. 🎯 What is this video going to talk about? Shohei Ohtani’s start against the Giants on May 13th, 105 pitches, 7 innings, 8 strikeouts, and zero runs. I pulled out all the data from this game – from pitching position, pitch-by-pitch data, each hitter’s contact quality, to hitter round analysis, and the decline trend of ball speed throughout the season – and used the data to tell you whether Shohei Ohtani in 2026 has the strength to win the Cy Young Award. 📊 Key points of the video ▍The core weapon of this starter: Sweeper What impressed me most about this game was not his 8 strikeouts, but his Sweeper. proPitch+ 122, league average 100, 22 points higher. Sweeper’s wOBA this season is only .190, and his Whiff% is as high as 43.9%. Ohtani almost only uses four-seamers and sweepers against right-handers, and only adds hookballs and curveballs against left-handers. The Sweeper’s lateral displacement is toward first base. It is brought out from the outside corner when playing to the right, and it is pushed in toward the inside corner when playing to the left. The contact point is difficult to grasp. In this game, the Giants hit a lot of left-field bats. In the sixth inning, Lee Jung-ho was playing at a pitch with a flight elevation angle of minus 14 degrees and a flight distance of only 13 feet. Sweeper completely disrupted his swing timing. ▍The statement “weak in the back end”, what does the data say? I calculated all the four-seamer and Sweeper’s average speed in this game. From the first inning to the seventh inning, the four-seam line had a high of 98.2 miles and a low of 96.4 miles, a difference of less than two miles. Sweeper has a maximum of 84.7 and a minimum of 83.9, a difference of 0.8 miles. Then look at the seven games throughout the season. The difference in ball speed between the first half and the second half of each game is between minus 1.6 and minus 2.1 mph. The seven games are almost identical. It’s not Ohtani’s problem that starting pitchers’ ball speed drops in the later stages of their pitches. This is a normal curve that all starters have. ▍In which round a batter faces him is what is really worth looking at. I grouped the full-season data into the first, second, and third rounds of the batter. In the first round, Whiff% was 32.2%, Chase% was 34.5%, K was 21, and BB was only 2. Second round – Whiff% dropped to 28.3%, Chase% dropped to 27.1%, and four bad balls jumped to 7. After the batter saw one round, he narrowed his swing range and stopped chasing bad balls. The second round was when Ohtani was really tested. Then look at the third round: Whiff% jumped back to 36.9%, the highest in the three rounds, with 15 K and only 2 BB. Ohtani relied on pitch adjustments to push the batter back in the third round. This is not a problem of fatigue, it is a problem between the hitter and the pitcher, and Ohtani solved it faster. However, the xBA in the third round was 0.381, the highest among the three rounds. The quality of the balls hit was obviously better. The risk of longer innings is real and cannot be avoided. ▍Roberts asked Ohtani to only shoot and not hit. Isn’t that right? This season, Roberts asked Ohtani to only shoot and not hit in several games. We have talked about in a previous video that pitching and hitting are structurally conflicting in sports physiology – the hip rotation directions are completely opposite, and the nervous system has to pay a price for switching two sets of action programs on the same day. The first thing that fades away from CNS fatigue is the sense of timing, which is the thing that strikes the most need. Today he only did one thing, and his nervous system did not need to switch back and forth. This is one of the reasons why you saw the ball speed was still 96 or 97 in the seventh inning. The game you just saw was the result of not playing. ▍The key to the seventh inning: a double hit by Adames and a hit by Chapman. There were people on first and second base, and the winning rate dropped from 95% to 90%. Ohtani threw two Sweepers and then a 98.4 four-seamer to Gilbert. Gilbert hit a 100.4-mile fly ball with a flight distance of 373 feet and an xBA of 0.480. Any pitcher would probably lose runs. But the elevation angle was only 23 degrees. Pages received the kill and passed it back to second base for a double play. The winning rate jumped back to 97% in one step, +6.4%, which was the largest single positive change in the game. This double play was completed in the third round, when there were people on first and second base, and the pressure was greatest. ▍Does Otani have any problems this year? The run value of the knuckleball is negative 2.7, the only negative value among all types of balls. The wOBA of the hitter facing the knuckleball is 0.334, which is obviously high. He only shot 7 in this game and used them very conservatively. If the forked ball can be adjusted back, this arsenal will be even more terrifying. ▍The ERA title and the Cy Young Award are two different things. Many people say that Ohtani does not have enough innings to win the Cy Young Award. This statement confuses the two things. If you don’t have enough games, you won’t be able to win the ERA title – there’s a hard and fast rule about that. Ohtani can’t come this year, so there’s no need to fight. However, the Cy Young Award is a voting system and there is no hard threshold. How the committee members vote is the key. These are two completely different things. ▍The matter of the second-hand style appeal. Recently, there is news that other teams are going to appeal against Otani’s second-hand style registration system, saying that this is Otani’s prerogative. But the rules for two-way players can be used by every team and are not unique to the Dodgers. The words Shohei Ohtani are not written on them. The problem isn’t the rules, it’s that there is no second Shohei Ohtani. Ohtani pitched like this when he was with the Angels, and no one cared about it. Now that the Dodgers have won consecutive championships, it suddenly becomes a problem. ▍In the end, Shohei Ohtani never won a Cy Young Award. This year is the best pitching year of his career. The inning problem does exist, but who says he can’t just win the Cy Young Award? ✈️ Los Angeles Football Watching Group On July 30, the Dodgers played three games in a row against the Red Sox. Puffik and I cooperated to open a Los Angeles football watching group. Watch Otani live in three series games and Dodger Stadium. Detailed itinerary and information can be found in the information column and pinned message. Remember to fill out the form when you sign up. Soybean can give you a discount of 1,000 yuan. ⚾ In the next film, Yamamoto Yunobu’s performance this year is stable, but he seems to be slightly inferior compared to Ohtani. What went wrong for Yamamoto this year? The next video will tell you. Remember to subscribe to Doudou Shuoqiu and turn on the small bell to receive notifications as soon as possible. 🔍 Related Keywords Shohei Ohtani pitching Shohei Ohtani 2026 Cy Young Award Shohei Ohtani MLB analysis MLB Statcast soy talk Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Sweeper forkball proPitch Ohtani ERA Shohei Ohtani Giants hitters turns pitching analysis baseball analysis baseball data